Another GEM from Noah Rosenblatt…

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The Buyer - Seller Disconnect

Posted by Noah Rosenblatt on December 3, 2008 at 8.21 AM

So, why is the market illiquid? Two main reasons:

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a) sellers are anchored to peak pricing; yet to realize the significant decline in buyer confidence OR that their property is likely worth 15-20% below peak levels

b) buyer confidence has not only declined, but has been shattered; as prices fall and fundamentals deteriorate, more buyers have rushed to the sidelines rather than jump into the market to take advantage of deals. The sideline money theory (the argument, mostly by brokers, that there will be a floor on prices because buyers will flock to pick up deals from the sidelines on even the most minuscule of price adjustments) was proven wrong once again

…the disconnect is making the market illiquid. Lets discuss each.

See the entire post here...don’t forget to read the comments…many are very interesting! md

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All cash deals: Green is the new black

By Candace Taylor, The Real Deal New York
As market fears kick in, all-cash deals soar

2008-12-02_123311And Michael Daly, the principal broker at True North Realty Associates in the Hamptons, said some 75 percent of his deals are all cash right now. He recently represented the all-cash buyers of a $2 million Shelter Island home and a house in Westhampton Beach that sold for $7.5 million in cash.

Others have been amassing cash in recent months in anticipation of real estate bargains, Daly said.

“A lot of people have gone heavy into cash over the course of the last year,” he said. “They’re waiting for the bottom — in all types of investments. For those who feel that the bottom is here, it’s time to make a move.”

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Q & A with Gary DePersia

Gary DePersia

It’s been a tough year for Hamptons real estate. Average sales prices for homes in the Hamptons and the North Fork plummeted 26.8 percent in the third quarter from the same period last year, according to a market report by Prudential Douglas Elliman.
Yet, since August, East Hampton-based Gary DePersia, an associate broker and senior vice president at the Corcoran Group, said he has seen nearly $30 million worth of exclusive listings go into contract.

With $202 million in sales volume this year, DePersia was recently named the nation’s fourth top broker in the “The Real Estate Top 200,” a national ranking and awards event sponsored by the Wall Street Journal, Real Trends and Lore Magazine. A 13-year real estate veteran, DePersia moved to East Hampton from New York City in 1995.

The Real Deal spoke with DePersia to find out how he’s beating the odds.

 

see complete Q&A here

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Updated: December 02, 2008 6:03pm    


Gotthelf To Pursue Lawsuit Over Rivercatwalk Development Delays
Andrea Aurichio

Gotthelf contends town planners have favored the Riverside Hamlet project over her project and waived requirements for traffic studies, environmental impact statements and financial analysis in its review, while forcing her to comply with a host of regulations that have delayed her proposal. “They want to wear me down to either kill the project or force a sale to another developer,” Gotthelf asserted. According to Gotthelf the application process has cost over $1 million to date

see complete story by clicking the story title above or by clicking here

 

Perhaps there are some markets where brick and mortar offices are important.  For years, there has always been a ’boutique’ element to Hamptons real estate…people getting ice cream and strolling down the main streets, peering into real estate offices at all the fancy (and often photo-shopped) pictures of the estates, cottages and properties being offered.  I suppose it was lovely to pick our home out of a window, the same way we picked that beautiful pair of shoes or the bright red sled years ago…

Then the internet came and deals were flying off the table faster and faster…NO TIME FOR ICE CREAM STROLLING!!!

Well, the times they are a’changing…what will the future bring to real estate? What will the future bring to Hamptons real estate?  We’ll see, won’t we?  md

 

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sherry chris, BH&G

CEO: Real estate offices must shrink

Brokers who cut costs will thrive, says Sherry Chris

Inman News

Relationships still matter, Chris said, but agents don’t need an office to build them. The agent of the future will be an adviser, a consultant and a negotiator — and agents will do much of their work online or face-to-face with clients in the field.

“Agents don’t want to sit in an office — they need to be completely mobile, out there doing their work” in the field, Chris said.

CLICK THE TITLE FOR THE WHOLE STORY…

Fun time, here at Parish Presents…check it out! md
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Publication: The East Hampton Press & The Southampton Press

When is a museum the best place to go Christmas shopping?

By Mary Cummings
Nov 24, 08 12:06 PM

While cooks all over the Hamptons were filling their larders with the fixings for a Thanksgiving feast, over at the Parrish Art Museum they were assembling the makings of their annual banquet of bargains, Parrish Presents.

Check this post out. Thanks, Renee!! md

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Is Your Realtor Presenting All Offers To You?

Posted by Renee Porsia,  RE/MAX ACTION REALTY, Maple Glen, PA

Many sellers would be surprised to know that many offers go unseen just because their Realtor didn’t like the offer or even the buyer agent presenting the offer. So, how can you be certain that you are seeing every offer?

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Wall Street crisis reaches Hamptons

 

 

By Candace Taylor

As the chaos on Wall Street has unfolded in recent weeks, observers have waited for the Manhattan real estate market, with its close ties to the financial sector, to show signs of a slowdown. But it’s the East End where the Wall Street meltdown has led to immediate aftershocks, brokers say.

Sales activity in the Hamptons — the popular weekend destination for Wall Street tycoons — has all but stopped, prices have plunged and deals are disintegrating, brokers on the East End said.

“We’re so Wall Street-focused out here,” said Michael Daly, principal broker at True North Realty Associates. “In the past week, it’s like everyone is holding their breath.”

Fashion designer Adrienne Vittadini’s five-bedroom waterfront home in Water Mill, listed with Sotheby’s International Realty, was recently reduced from $6.95 million to $6.495 million, down more than $1 million from its original listing price of $7.6 million, according to an Internet-based listings exchange system. An eight-bedroom home on Parsonage Lane in Sagaponack, originally listed at $9.995 million, is now $8.495 million, while a Bay Avenue home in Water Mill first priced at $4.995 million now is available for $3.995 million.

Judi Desiderio, CEO of Town & Country Real Estate in East Hampton, said in the past 10 days, nearly half of the company’s deals have fallen through or been negotiated at the closing table, while sales prices on many properties have been rolled back an average of 20 percent. 

Desiderio attributes the slowdown to the Hamptons’ popularity as a second-home spot for Wall Streeters.

“I’ve always said that there’s an umbilical cord between the Hamptons and Wall Street,” she said. “They get a tummy ache — we have to lie down to feel better.”

“We’re the luxury items,” Desiderio said. “We’re like buying a bigger boat — you only buy it when you need it or you can afford it.”

Before stocks rallied Friday, the S&P 500 had fallen for seven straight days, its longest losing streak since 1996. The declines pushed the S&P 500 down more than 40 percent from its peak last October.

In the past week, Hamptons brokers have seen phones stop ringing, e-mail inboxes sit empty and the flow of visitors at sales offices slow to a trickle, according to Robert Murray, a broker in the Corcoran Group’s Westhampton office.

“Everything’s come to a halt,” Murray said, adding that plunging stock prices have “basically killed any activity. We’re in a holding pattern.”

He said the few calls he’s received this week are from “bottom fishers:” buyers looking for firesale prices.  “I’ve gotten calls from people saying, ‘what’s the best bargain out there?’” Murray said.

Despite the perception that good prices are available, many buyers are afraid to act because they’re waiting for the market to bottom out, said Daly of True North Realty, and author of the Hamptons Real Estate Blog.

“Anyone who is in the process of negotiating or moving on a property just appears to be taking a let’s-wait-and-see attitude,” he said. “When we do see a bottom, we’ll see some good activity.”

HSBC Paves a Path in Loan Crisis,  The Wall Street Journal       -   HSBC was one of the first big banks to signal a subprime-mortgage meltdown. Now, the bank’s struggles show the next stage of the crisis: aiding borrowers.

 

Realogy Now on Endangered List UrbanDigs.com

Posted by Noah Rosenblatt on November 19, 2008 at 9.15 AM
Realogy’s bonds are tumbling, as the company reported about $200Mil in losses over the past 3 quarters. The company is now trying to exchange around $1.1Bln in existing bonds at a discount for new notes, to stave off a potential default. If they are not successful, they could be in violation of the loan’s covenants under the senior secured credit facility.

Group to sue Bulova developers; project stagnates  The Southampton Press

Last Updated Nov 19, 08 12:58 PM

The developers of the former Bulova watchcase factory in Sag Harbor, who last summer received approval to redevelop the old factory building into 65 luxury condos just as the bottom fell out of the economy, are now facing the added hurdle of lawsuits against their project.

Financing for the $100 million complex has not yet been secured and the faltering economy could make that prospect increasingly more difficult. full story

FEMA Releases New Flood Maps

By Beth Young  The Southampton Press

Nov 18, 08 9:43 AM

The Federal Emergency Management Agency’s new preliminary flood insurance rate maps for Suffolk County show far fewer houses in the floodplain than when the last maps were completed in 1983—but Southampton Town’s stormwater manager is concerned that they do not take all of the potential flood areas into account

 

Illegal building must be scaled down

   

A builder who finished framing a massive house in the Water Mill hills last winter without a building permit may be able to proceed with work if he tears down a portion of the house.

 

Despite Economy, Boon For Builder

Rumors of Joe Farrell’s demise greatly exaggerated

By Jennifer Landes, The East Hampton Star

Those who would like to think that Joe Farrell, the house builder for celebrities, politicians, and hedge-fund wunderkinds, is doing poorly will have to wait for a different downturn. Indeed, the bills are stacked up on his desk, but they all have checks attached to them, waiting for his signature.

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Updated: November 16, 2008 9:44pm    


Rain And Tears Mix At Tribute Renaming Sag Harbor’s Veterans Memorial Bridge
Aaron Boyd

Sag Harbor - Sag Harbor residents stood solemnly through the stormy morning of Saturday, Nov. 15, rain indecipherable from tears on their faces, as local, county and state officials dedicated the bridge that spans the cove and is gateway to the their hometown as the Lance Corporal Jordan C. Haerter Veterans Memorial Bridge

see whole story here

One of the most difficult things to do in this market is to figure out where prices (values) are.
Seeing median prices fall to 2005 levels doesn’t necessarily mean that properties should be selling for 2005 prices, although it’s clear that buyers would like to see that, if not 2004 or 2003 values.
So, Paulson buys this house in 2006 for $12.75M and has it offered for $1.02 above that price.  The estate areas always hold their values better than other areas, so it makes sens for an offering price…let’s see where it sells…
Paulson Southampton House

Paulson Southampton House

John Paulson in Southampton, Estate of the Day

Paulson bought the home for $12.75 million in 2006 so when he put it on the market in April he priced it at $19.5 million, anticipating a tidy profit. No takers so in late August he dropped the price to $16.9 million. In October he finally got a nibble but he had a buyer with a signed contract walk away from the deal. Paulson really needs to unload this puppy so now it is down to $13.9 million which means he resigned himself to not making a huge profit on the sale.

See whole post here

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I love this post, by Brooke Green of Caskey Sales Training.

The point she makes is right on; if we’re ‘freaking’ , it’s because we don’t have a plan and have been resting on our laurels for too long. Think…adjust…plan…execute flawlessly!  Nice going, Brooke!

 

I was turned onto Caskey by Business Coach Anne Alexander, from Authentic Alternatives

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Does This Economy Have You FREAKING

by Brooke Green on November 4, 2008

I don’t know about you, but the same question keeps coming up in every conversation I have…

“How do you think this economy will affect your business?”

You know, I’d like to think I’m a realist and not a Pollyanna, but I really don’t see the economy hurting our business. Why?

  1. We’re relevant. We are constantly looking at our marketplace and offering programs, information and education that speak to the current reality.
  2. We help our clients keep and grow their businesses and we’re good at it.
  3. We’re clear on our ideal client. We are working with people that have a belief in investing in their people. With that belief, they will find the dollars.

So, who should be FREAKING OUT?

  1. Companies that have lived “fat and happy” for a long time. If you haven’t continually done your best to stay current, relevant and productive, now would be a good time to do that.
  2. Companies that don’t know what their value is to their client. Are you still puking features and benefits on them? You need to understand what kind of problems you solve. How do you help your clients get and keep customers? If you don’t know, you need to figure it out.
  3. Companies that try to make all suspects and prospects “fit.” You need to be clear on the demographics and psychographics of your ideal client. Get really good at identifying them and communicating how you work with them. Don’t be needy and desperate—keep it real.

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Who Should Attend?

Real Estate Connect draws more than 1,000 real estate agents, top brokers, mortgage professionals, technology company CEOs, directors and managers, entrepreneurs, press, analysts and investors from across the U.S. and around the globe.

 

Check out event info here

It’s great to see more and more people “get” the fact that buyers need/deserve representation in the real estate transaction.

“Corcoran was following in the footsteps of Re/Max Beach Properties in Southamption, which was shuttered in July, after two years in operation.

But here’s the counterintuitive part: the Re/Max Beach chief, Michael Daly, didn’t cave in; he changed tactics, opening a buyers’ agency, True North Realty Associates, in North Haven.

“Nearly 98 percent of real estate agents in New York only represent the seller,” even if they are taking the buyer on tour to see properties, he said. “Those buyers are now looking for representation in the transaction.”

Starting Up in a Sour Market

Published: November 14, 2008

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It appears that enough people are finally starting to realize that stopping or slowing the foreclosure landslide will have positive impact on the free-falling real estate values in many areas. While there have not been many foreclosures, here in the hamptons, growth is inevitable and this policy could help.

In coffee shop convetsations about this issue, I’ve also heard people say “Well, what about me? I’m not in default on my loan. Why should my neighbor get help and me nothing?” And the answer is another question: “What will happen to the value of your home if your neighbor goes into foreclosure and the house sells at a fire-sale price?”  They usually “get it”…

Loan mods could restore confidence

FDIC plan synchs with real estate industry aims

Inman News

“Limiting foreclosures not only slows growth in inventory and price declines, but provides reassurance to would-be homebuyers who are reluctant to buy into a downturn, Bishop said.

The administration’s plan, which FHA Commissioner Brian Montgomery said might help “hundreds of thousands of borrowers,” involves a streamlined loan modification process in which borrowers’ loan payments would be reduced to 38 percent of gross monthly income by lowering their interest rate, lengthening the term of the loan, or reducing principal and adding it to the back of the loan.”

click the title above for complete story.

maslovhierarchyofneeds_01In recent years, many agents learned that the more you work, the better you earn. Those wewre they years when doing business was like being a bear in the middle of a stream during the salmon run. As long as you were there, on a good rock, you could eat to your hearts content.

Today, with business slower, the ‘big bears’ are still nibbling, but many others are ’shrieking and freaking’ about having nothing to do.

Why not take that free time and put it to good use, helping others?  There are many non-profit organizations, here on the East End that could use our help; civic, church, childrens, family, environmental and animal related.

And doing good feels good! Let’s be grateful for what we have and ‘pass it on’.

For  a list of East End Non-Profit organizations, click here.

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This post was inspired by a Selsius Blog post: NAR Must Add Pro Bono Provision to Realtor Code of Ethics  

Thanks for the inspiration, Joe!

County Road 39 & 39A (Rt 27) from Lobster Inn to Mercedes dealer

County Road 39 & 39A (Rt 27) from Lobster Inn to Mercedes dealer

logo261“This month, a new ad hoc advisory committee began to take shape in Southampton to study the future development of the CR 39 corridor. The committee, composed of town residents and civic leaders, will work in conjunction with professional planners hired by the Town of Southampton to chart future development along the roadway. Meanwhile, a town imposed building moratorium remains in place until August 2009. The moratorium has effectively halted all development along the CR 39 corridor for the year as a means of allowing planners to reassess conditions created by the recent road widening and current development.”

see full article below

Task Force Takes A Closer Look At Development And Safety Along County Road 39
Andrea Aurichio

Harry Hurt Dumpster Dives

Harry Hurt Dumpster Dives

Sag Harbor, NY resident Harry Hurt writes books, stories and the Executive Pursuits column for The New York Times.  Much thanks to Harry for sharing on this personal level.  See the entire piece after the quote.

“I happened to be in the throes of a divorce, the marital equivalent of foreclosure. Although I had accepted an all-cash offer for the house from an ostensibly wealthy couple, the buyers had recently postponed the closing date to get the money to complete the purchase by selling some stock. Given the downward trend in the Dow Jones industrial average, I was starting to worry that the sale might fall through.

The prospect was chilling. If I was unable to find another buyer or a year-round renter, my house might end up in foreclosure. And I had already signed a one-year lease on a two-bedroom walk-up apartment near the center of the village, which meant there was no turning back on my move out of Chateau Bow Wow.”

Executive Pursuits

After a Life-Altering Event, Cleaning Out and Moving On

Edgar Bronfman Page Six

Edgar Bronfman Page Six

Edgar Bronfman has great Real Estate Karma.  He buys and sells homes in manhattan and ther hamptons, usually making a killing.
He sold his townhouse in Manhattan for $50 Million, making it the highest priced sale in New York…
In January 2006, he paid $31 million for a Bridgehampton estate and an adjacent lot owned by coffee importer Rainer Schoenbach. , which is certainly worth more than he paid for it today.
But, even the best don’t always make a killing…

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